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Polymarket: 98.4% of Favorites Win in Settled U.S. Midterm Election Markets

2026-11-05 07:44

On November 5, TechFlow reported that, according to Polymarket, among 426 settled U.S. midterm election races, the market favorite on the day before Election Day won in 419 races, accounting for 98.4%; the results of 7 races went against the favorite, while 78 remain unsettled.

An accompanying image showed that among settled Senate, gubernatorial, and House races, the favorite win rates were 97.0%, 97.1%, and 98.6%, respectively.

Source: TechFlow